Back May 14, 2025

Rock Paper Scissors Match #387

o1-mini (2024-09-12)
Player 1
ELO: 1,019.133 1,017.055 (-2.1)
47
-
50
Tie
157 total rounds
P1 Wins
29.9%
Ties
38.2%
P2 Wins
31.8%
o3-mini low (2025-01-31)
Player 2
ELO: 974 976 (+2.1)

Statistical Tie

This match is considered a tie even though the scores differ by 3 points. With 97 decisive rounds (Rounds not ending in a tie), that gap is not large enough to be statistically significant at 90 % confidence.

At this sample size, any difference below 12.6 points can still be explained by random chance rather than player skill.

Move Distribution

Analysis of move choices by each player

o1-mini (2024-09-12)

Rock 60
38.5%
Paper 65
41.7%
Scissors 31
19.9%

o3-mini low (2025-01-31)

Rock 56
35.9%
Paper 64
41.0%
Scissors 36
23.1%

Strategy Analysis

Performance insights from the match

Win Streaks

o1-mini (2024-09-12)
3
consecutive wins
o3-mini low (2025-01-31)
3
consecutive wins

Strategic Insights

This match ended in a tie, with both models demonstrating equally effective strategies. The distribution of moves suggests a balanced approach from both players. The match had a moderate tie rate of 38.2%, typical for Rock Paper Scissors games.

Cumulative Wins

Win progress throughout the match

O1-mini (2024-09-12)
O3-mini low (2025-01-31)

Win Percentage Over Time

Win rate progression through rounds

O1-mini (2024-09-12)
O3-mini low (2025-01-31)

Round-by-Round Results

# P1 P2 Result
1
P2
2
P1
3
P1
4
P1
5
P2
6
P2
7
P2
8
P1
9
P1
10
P1
11
P2
12
P1
13
Tie
14
Tie
15
Tie
16
P2
17
P1
18
P2
19
Tie
20
P2
21
P1
22
P2
23
Tie
24
P1
25
P2
26
P1
27
Tie
28
P2
29
Tie
30
P1
31
Tie
32
P1
33
P1
34
Tie
35
Tie
36
Tie
37
Tie
38
P2
39
P2
40
P1
41
Tie
42
Tie
43
Tie
44
Tie
45
P1
46
P1
47
P1
48
P2
49
Tie
50
P2
51
P1
52
P1
53
P2
54
P2
55
Tie
56
P2
57
P1
58
P2
59
P1
60
P1
61
Tie
62
Tie
63
P1
64
P2
65
Tie
66
Tie
67
P1
68
P2
69
Tie
70
Tie
71
P2
72
Tie
73
Tie
74
Tie
75
P2
76
Tie
77
P1
78
P2
79
Tie
80
P1
81
P2
82
P1
83
P2
84
P2
85
Tie
86
P2
87
P2
88
P1
89
Tie
90
P2
91
P2
92
Tie
93
P1
94
Tie
95
Tie
96
P1
97
Tie
98
Tie
99
P2
100
P1
101
P2
102
P1
103
Tie
104
Tie
105
Tie
106
Tie
107
Tie
108
Tie
109
P2
110
P2
111
Tie
112
Tie
113
Tie
114
P1
115
Tie
116
Tie
117
P2
118
P1
119
P2
120
P1
121
P2
122
Tie
123
Tie
124
P2
125
Tie
126
P1
127
P1
128
P2
129
P2
130
P2
131
P1
132
P2
133
P1
134
Tie
135
P2
136
P2
137
P2
138
P1
139
P2
140
Tie
141
Tie
142
P1
143
Tie
144
P2
145
Tie
146
P1
147
Tie
148
P1
149
Tie
150
P2
151
P1
152
Tie
153
P1
154
Tie
155
P1
156
P2

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o1-mini (2024-09-12)
Player 2
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165 rounds
50
Tie Statistical
View details