Back May 14, 2025

Rock Paper Scissors Match #398

o4-mini low (2025-04-16)
Player 1
ELO: 1,014.157 1,014.788 (+0.6)
50
-
46
Tie
127 total rounds
P1 Wins
39.4%
Ties
24.4%
P2 Wins
36.2%
o4-mini high (2025-04-16)
Player 2
ELO: 1,028 1,027 (-0.6)

Statistical Tie

This match is considered a tie even though the scores differ by 4 points. With 96 decisive rounds (Rounds not ending in a tie), that gap is not large enough to be statistically significant at 90 % confidence.

At this sample size, any difference below 12.6 points can still be explained by random chance rather than player skill.

Move Distribution

Analysis of move choices by each player

o4-mini low (2025-04-16)

Rock 43
34.1%
Paper 43
34.1%
Scissors 40
31.7%

o4-mini high (2025-04-16)

Rock 37
29.4%
Paper 41
32.5%
Scissors 48
38.1%

Strategy Analysis

Performance insights from the match

Win Streaks

o4-mini low (2025-04-16)
3
consecutive wins
o4-mini high (2025-04-16)
4
consecutive wins

Strategic Insights

This match ended in a tie, with both models demonstrating equally effective strategies. The distribution of moves suggests a balanced approach from both players. The match had a moderate tie rate of 24.4%, typical for Rock Paper Scissors games.

Cumulative Wins

Win progress throughout the match

O4-mini low (2025-04-16)
O4-mini high (2025-04-16)

Win Percentage Over Time

Win rate progression through rounds

O4-mini low (2025-04-16)
O4-mini high (2025-04-16)

Round-by-Round Results

# P1 P2 Result
1
Tie
2
Tie
3
P2
4
P1
5
P1
6
Tie
7
P1
8
P2
9
P2
10
P1
11
P2
12
P1
13
P1
14
P1
15
P2
16
Tie
17
Tie
18
P2
19
P1
20
Tie
21
P1
22
P2
23
P1
24
P2
25
P1
26
P1
27
P2
28
P2
29
P2
30
P1
31
P1
32
Tie
33
P1
34
P2
35
Tie
36
P1
37
P1
38
P2
39
Tie
40
Tie
41
P1
42
Tie
43
P1
44
P1
45
P2
46
Tie
47
P2
48
P2
49
P2
50
P1
51
P1
52
Tie
53
P1
54
P1
55
P1
56
Tie
57
P2
58
P1
59
Tie
60
Tie
61
P2
62
P2
63
Tie
64
P1
65
P2
66
Tie
67
P2
68
P2
69
Tie
70
P1
71
P2
72
P2
73
P2
74
P2
75
P1
76
Tie
77
P2
78
P1
79
P2
80
P2
81
P1
82
Tie
83
Tie
84
P1
85
Tie
86
P2
87
Tie
88
P1
89
P2
90
P1
91
P2
92
Tie
93
P1
94
P1
95
P2
96
P1
97
P2
98
P2
99
P2
100
P2
101
P1
102
P2
103
Tie
104
P1
105
P1
106
P1
107
P2
108
Tie
109
P2
110
P2
111
Tie
112
P2
113
P1
114
P1
115
Tie
116
P1
117
P1
118
P1
119
P2
120
P2
121
Tie
122
P1
123
P1
124
P1
125
P2
126
P1

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119 rounds
50
Tie Statistical
View details