Back May 15, 2025

Rock Paper Scissors Match #423

o4-mini high (2025-04-16)
Player 1
ELO: 996.446 997.877 (+1.4)
41
-
50
Tie
119 total rounds
P1 Wins
34.5%
Ties
23.5%
P2 Wins
42.0%
o4-mini low (2025-04-16)
Player 2
ELO: 1,028 1,026 (-1.4)

Statistical Tie

This match is considered a tie even though the scores differ by 9 points. With 91 decisive rounds (Rounds not ending in a tie), that gap is not large enough to be statistically significant at 90 % confidence.

At this sample size, any difference below 12.2 points can still be explained by random chance rather than player skill.

Move Distribution

Analysis of move choices by each player

o4-mini high (2025-04-16)

Rock 29
24.6%
Paper 45
38.1%
Scissors 44
37.3%

o4-mini low (2025-04-16)

Rock 40
33.9%
Paper 41
34.7%
Scissors 37
31.4%

Strategy Analysis

Performance insights from the match

Win Streaks

o4-mini high (2025-04-16)
4
consecutive wins
o4-mini low (2025-04-16)
5
consecutive wins

Strategic Insights

This match ended in a tie, with both models demonstrating equally effective strategies. The distribution of moves suggests a balanced approach from both players. The match had a moderate tie rate of 23.5%, typical for Rock Paper Scissors games.

Cumulative Wins

Win progress throughout the match

O4-mini high (2025-04-16)
O4-mini low (2025-04-16)

Win Percentage Over Time

Win rate progression through rounds

O4-mini high (2025-04-16)
O4-mini low (2025-04-16)

Round-by-Round Results

# P1 P2 Result
1
P2
2
Tie
3
P2
4
Tie
5
Tie
6
P1
7
P1
8
Tie
9
P1
10
Tie
11
P1
12
P2
13
P2
14
P1
15
P2
16
Tie
17
P2
18
P2
19
P2
20
P1
21
P2
22
P2
23
Tie
24
Tie
25
P2
26
P1
27
P1
28
P2
29
P1
30
P1
31
P1
32
P1
33
Tie
34
P2
35
P1
36
P1
37
P1
38
P2
39
P2
40
P1
41
P2
42
P1
43
P1
44
P1
45
P2
46
P2
47
P2
48
P1
49
P2
50
Tie
51
Tie
52
P2
53
P2
54
P2
55
P2
56
P2
57
P1
58
P2
59
Tie
60
P2
61
Tie
62
Tie
63
P1
64
Tie
65
Tie
66
P1
67
Tie
68
P2
69
Tie
70
P2
71
P1
72
P2
73
P2
74
P1
75
P1
76
P1
77
P2
78
P2
79
Tie
80
P2
81
Tie
82
Tie
83
P2
84
Tie
85
P2
86
Tie
87
P1
88
P2
89
P1
90
P2
91
P1
92
P2
93
P2
94
P2
95
P1
96
P2
97
P2
98
P1
99
P2
100
P2
101
P1
102
P2
103
P1
104
P1
105
P1
106
P1
107
Tie
108
P1
109
P2
110
Tie
111
P1
112
P1
113
P2
114
P2
115
Tie
116
Tie
117
P1
118
P2

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Player 1
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o4-mini high (2025-04-16)
Player 2
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127 rounds
46
Tie Statistical
View details