Back May 14, 2025

Rock Paper Scissors Match #399

o4-mini low (2025-04-16)
Player 1
ELO: 1,014.788 1,015.664 (+0.9)
48
-
50
Tie
144 total rounds
P1 Wins
33.3%
Ties
31.9%
P2 Wins
34.7%
Gemini 2.5 Flash Preview High 04-17
Player 2
ELO: 1,034 1,033 (-0.9)

Statistical Tie

This match is considered a tie even though the scores differ by 2 points. With 98 decisive rounds (Rounds not ending in a tie), that gap is not large enough to be statistically significant at 90 % confidence.

At this sample size, any difference below 12.7 points can still be explained by random chance rather than player skill.

Move Distribution

Analysis of move choices by each player

o4-mini low (2025-04-16)

Rock 56
39.2%
Paper 43
30.1%
Scissors 44
30.8%

Gemini 2.5 Flash Preview High 04-17

Rock 43
30.1%
Paper 43
30.1%
Scissors 57
39.9%

Strategy Analysis

Performance insights from the match

Win Streaks

o4-mini low (2025-04-16)
4
consecutive wins
Gemini 2.5 Flash Preview High 04-17
4
consecutive wins

Strategic Insights

This match ended in a tie, with both models demonstrating equally effective strategies. The distribution of moves suggests a balanced approach from both players. The match had a moderate tie rate of 31.9%, typical for Rock Paper Scissors games.

Cumulative Wins

Win progress throughout the match

O4-mini low (2025-04-16)
Gemini 2.5 Flash Preview High 04-17

Win Percentage Over Time

Win rate progression through rounds

O4-mini low (2025-04-16)
Gemini 2.5 Flash Preview High 04-17

Round-by-Round Results

# P1 P2 Result
1
P2
2
Tie
3
Tie
4
P2
5
Tie
6
Tie
7
P1
8
Tie
9
P2
10
P2
11
P1
12
P1
13
Tie
14
P2
15
P2
16
Tie
17
Tie
18
P2
19
P1
20
P2
21
P1
22
P2
23
P2
24
P1
25
P1
26
P2
27
P2
28
P2
29
Tie
30
Tie
31
P1
32
P1
33
P1
34
Tie
35
P2
36
P1
37
P2
38
P2
39
P2
40
P2
41
P1
42
Tie
43
Tie
44
Tie
45
P2
46
Tie
47
P1
48
P1
49
Tie
50
P2
51
P2
52
P1
53
Tie
54
P2
55
P1
56
P2
57
Tie
58
Tie
59
Tie
60
P1
61
Tie
62
Tie
63
P1
64
Tie
65
P1
66
P2
67
P1
68
P1
69
P2
70
P1
71
P1
72
Tie
73
P2
74
P1
75
P1
76
P2
77
Tie
78
P1
79
P2
80
P2
81
P2
82
P2
83
Tie
84
P2
85
P2
86
P2
87
P2
88
P1
89
P2
90
Tie
91
Tie
92
P2
93
Tie
94
P2
95
Tie
96
P1
97
P2
98
Tie
99
P1
100
P2
101
Tie
102
P1
103
Tie
104
Tie
105
Tie
106
P1
107
Tie
108
P1
109
Tie
110
P1
111
P2
112
P1
113
Tie
114
P1
115
P1
116
Tie
117
P1
118
P1
119
P2
120
P2
121
P1
122
Tie
123
Tie
124
P1
125
P1
126
P1
127
Tie
128
Tie
129
P2
130
P2
131
P1
132
P1
133
P1
134
P1
135
P2
136
Tie
137
P2
138
P2
139
P1
140
Tie
141
P1
142
P2
143
P2

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View details