Back May 21, 2025

Rock Paper Scissors Match #490

o4-mini low (2025-04-16)
Player 1
ELO: 1,031.753 1,031.709 (-0.0)
46
-
50
Tie
157 total rounds
P1 Wins
29.3%
Ties
38.9%
P2 Wins
31.8%
Gemini 2.5 Flash Preview High 04-17
Player 2
ELO: 1,031 1,031 (+0.0)

Statistical Tie

This match is considered a tie even though the scores differ by 4 points. With 96 decisive rounds (Rounds not ending in a tie), that gap is not large enough to be statistically significant at 90 % confidence.

At this sample size, any difference below 12.6 points can still be explained by random chance rather than player skill.

Move Distribution

Analysis of move choices by each player

o4-mini low (2025-04-16)

Rock 63
40.4%
Paper 46
29.5%
Scissors 47
30.1%

Gemini 2.5 Flash Preview High 04-17

Rock 47
30.1%
Paper 53
34.0%
Scissors 56
35.9%

Strategy Analysis

Performance insights from the match

Win Streaks

o4-mini low (2025-04-16)
3
consecutive wins
Gemini 2.5 Flash Preview High 04-17
5
consecutive wins

Strategic Insights

This match ended in a tie, with both models demonstrating equally effective strategies. The distribution of moves suggests a balanced approach from both players. The match had a moderate tie rate of 38.9%, typical for Rock Paper Scissors games.

Cumulative Wins

Win progress throughout the match

O4-mini low (2025-04-16)
Gemini 2.5 Flash Preview High 04-17

Win Percentage Over Time

Win rate progression through rounds

O4-mini low (2025-04-16)
Gemini 2.5 Flash Preview High 04-17

Round-by-Round Results

# P1 P2 Result
1
Tie
2
P1
3
Tie
4
P1
5
P2
6
P2
7
P1
8
P2
9
P2
10
P1
11
P1
12
P1
13
P2
14
P2
15
P1
16
P2
17
Tie
18
P1
19
P2
20
Tie
21
Tie
22
P1
23
P2
24
P2
25
P2
26
P1
27
P2
28
P1
29
Tie
30
Tie
31
Tie
32
P2
33
P1
34
P2
35
P2
36
P2
37
P2
38
P2
39
P1
40
P1
41
Tie
42
P1
43
P2
44
Tie
45
Tie
46
P1
47
Tie
48
P1
49
P2
50
P1
51
P1
52
Tie
53
P1
54
Tie
55
P1
56
P1
57
P2
58
P2
59
P2
60
P2
61
Tie
62
Tie
63
Tie
64
Tie
65
P2
66
Tie
67
Tie
68
P1
69
P2
70
Tie
71
P1
72
P2
73
P2
74
Tie
75
P2
76
P1
77
P1
78
P2
79
Tie
80
Tie
81
P2
82
Tie
83
P1
84
Tie
85
P2
86
Tie
87
P1
88
P1
89
Tie
90
P2
91
P1
92
Tie
93
P1
94
Tie
95
Tie
96
P1
97
P1
98
P2
99
P1
100
Tie
101
P2
102
P2
103
P2
104
Tie
105
Tie
106
P1
107
Tie
108
P1
109
Tie
110
P1
111
Tie
112
P1
113
Tie
114
Tie
115
Tie
116
P2
117
Tie
118
Tie
119
Tie
120
P1
121
Tie
122
P1
123
Tie
124
P2
125
P1
126
Tie
127
Tie
128
Tie
129
Tie
130
P1
131
P2
132
P2
133
Tie
134
Tie
135
P2
136
P2
137
P1
138
P1
139
P1
140
Tie
141
Tie
142
Tie
143
Tie
144
P2
145
Tie
146
Tie
147
P2
148
P1
149
Tie
150
Tie
151
P2
152
P2
153
Tie
154
P2
155
P2
156
P2

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Gemini 2.5 Flash Preview High 04-17
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View details