Back May 20, 2025

Rock Paper Scissors Match #469

Claude 3.7 Sonnet Thinking (2025-02-19)
Player 1
ELO: 1,184.795 1,179.131 (-5.7)
50
-
43
Tie
153 total rounds
P1 Wins
32.7%
Ties
39.2%
P2 Wins
28.1%
GPT-4o (2024-11-20)
Player 2
ELO: 1,056 1,062 (+5.7)

Statistical Tie

This match is considered a tie even though the scores differ by 7 points. With 93 decisive rounds (Rounds not ending in a tie), that gap is not large enough to be statistically significant at 90 % confidence.

At this sample size, any difference below 12.4 points can still be explained by random chance rather than player skill.

Move Distribution

Analysis of move choices by each player

Claude 3.7 Sonnet Thinking (2025-02-19)

Rock 46
30.3%
Paper 67
44.1%
Scissors 39
25.7%

GPT-4o (2024-11-20)

Rock 69
45.4%
Paper 49
32.2%
Scissors 34
22.4%

Strategy Analysis

Performance insights from the match

Win Streaks

Claude 3.7 Sonnet Thinking (2025-02-19)
5
consecutive wins
GPT-4o (2024-11-20)
3
consecutive wins

Strategic Insights

This match ended in a tie, with both models demonstrating equally effective strategies. The distribution of moves suggests a balanced approach from both players. The match had a moderate tie rate of 39.2%, typical for Rock Paper Scissors games.

Cumulative Wins

Win progress throughout the match

Claude 3.7 Sonnet Thinking (2025-02-19)
GPT-4o (2024-11-20)

Win Percentage Over Time

Win rate progression through rounds

Claude 3.7 Sonnet Thinking (2025-02-19)
GPT-4o (2024-11-20)

Round-by-Round Results

# P1 P2 Result
1
Tie
2
Tie
3
Tie
4
Tie
5
P2
6
Tie
7
P1
8
P2
9
P2
10
P2
11
P1
12
Tie
13
Tie
14
P1
15
P2
16
P1
17
P2
18
P1
19
Tie
20
Tie
21
Tie
22
P2
23
Tie
24
P1
25
P2
26
P2
27
P1
28
Tie
29
P1
30
P2
31
Tie
32
P1
33
P1
34
P2
35
P2
36
P2
37
Tie
38
P2
39
Tie
40
P1
41
P2
42
P2
43
P2
44
Tie
45
P2
46
Tie
47
P1
48
P1
49
P2
50
Tie
51
P2
52
P1
53
P1
54
P1
55
P2
56
Tie
57
Tie
58
Tie
59
P2
60
Tie
61
P1
62
P2
63
Tie
64
P2
65
Tie
66
P1
67
Tie
68
P2
69
P2
70
P1
71
Tie
72
P2
73
P1
74
P1
75
Tie
76
P1
77
Tie
78
P1
79
P2
80
P1
81
Tie
82
P1
83
P1
84
P1
85
P1
86
P1
87
P2
88
P1
89
Tie
90
P2
91
Tie
92
P1
93
P1
94
P1
95
Tie
96
Tie
97
Tie
98
P2
99
Tie
100
Tie
101
Tie
102
P2
103
Tie
104
Tie
105
Tie
106
Tie
107
P1
108
Tie
109
Tie
110
P1
111
P2
112
P1
113
Tie
114
Tie
115
P2
116
P1
117
P1
118
Tie
119
Tie
120
P2
121
P1
122
P2
123
P1
124
P2
125
Tie
126
P2
127
P1
128
P1
129
P1
130
P1
131
Tie
132
Tie
133
P2
134
P2
135
P1
136
Tie
137
P1
138
P2
139
P2
140
P1
141
P2
142
P1
143
P1
144
Tie
145
Tie
146
Tie
147
Tie
148
Tie
149
Tie
150
Tie
151
Tie
152
P1

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