Back Mar 02, 2025

Rock Paper Scissors Match #99

GPT-4o (2024-11-20)
Player 1
ELO: 999.626 1,000.38 (+0.8)
38
-
50
Tie
127 total rounds
P1 Wins
29.9%
Ties
30.7%
P2 Wins
39.4%
Claude 3.7 Sonnet Thinking (2025-02-19)
Player 2
ELO: 1,016 1,015 (-0.8)

Statistical Tie

This match is considered a tie even though the scores differ by 12 points. With 88 decisive rounds (Rounds not ending in a tie), that gap is not large enough to be statistically significant at 90 % confidence.

At this sample size, any difference below 12.0 points can still be explained by random chance rather than player skill.

Move Distribution

Analysis of move choices by each player

GPT-4o (2024-11-20)

Rock 49
38.9%
Paper 27
21.4%
Scissors 50
39.7%

Claude 3.7 Sonnet Thinking (2025-02-19)

Rock 55
43.7%
Paper 63
50.0%
Scissors 8
6.3%

Strategy Analysis

Performance insights from the match

Win Streaks

GPT-4o (2024-11-20)
3
consecutive wins
Claude 3.7 Sonnet Thinking (2025-02-19)
6
consecutive wins

Strategic Insights

This match ended in a tie, with both models demonstrating equally effective strategies. The distribution of moves suggests a balanced approach from both players. The match had a moderate tie rate of 30.7%, typical for Rock Paper Scissors games.

Cumulative Wins

Win progress throughout the match

GPT-4o (2024-11-20)
Claude 3.7 Sonnet Thinking (2025-02-19)

Win Percentage Over Time

Win rate progression through rounds

GPT-4o (2024-11-20)
Claude 3.7 Sonnet Thinking (2025-02-19)

Round-by-Round Results

# P1 P2 Result
1
P2
2
P2
3
P2
4
Tie
5
P1
6
P2
7
P1
8
Tie
9
P2
10
Tie
11
P1
12
P2
13
Tie
14
Tie
15
P2
16
P1
17
Tie
18
P1
19
P2
20
Tie
21
Tie
22
P2
23
P1
24
Tie
25
P1
26
P1
27
Tie
28
P2
29
Tie
30
P2
31
P2
32
P1
33
P1
34
P1
35
P2
36
P2
37
Tie
38
P2
39
P2
40
P1
41
Tie
42
Tie
43
P2
44
P1
45
Tie
46
P2
47
P1
48
Tie
49
P1
50
P1
51
P1
52
Tie
53
P2
54
P1
55
P2
56
Tie
57
P1
58
Tie
59
P2
60
Tie
61
P2
62
P2
63
Tie
64
Tie
65
P2
66
P2
67
P2
68
P2
69
P2
70
P2
71
P1
72
P2
73
Tie
74
Tie
75
P2
76
P1
77
P1
78
Tie
79
P2
80
P1
81
Tie
82
P1
83
P2
84
P2
85
P2
86
Tie
87
P1
88
P2
89
P2
90
P2
91
P2
92
Tie
93
Tie
94
P2
95
P2
96
Tie
97
Tie
98
Tie
99
P1
100
P1
101
P1
102
P2
103
P2
104
Tie
105
P1
106
P1
107
P2
108
P2
109
P1
110
P1
111
P1
112
P2
113
P1
114
Tie
115
Tie
116
P1
117
Tie
118
Tie
119
Tie
120
P1
121
P1
122
P1
123
P2
124
P2
125
P2
126
P2

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