Back Mar 02, 2025

Rock Paper Scissors Match #86

o1-mini (2024-09-12)
Player 1
ELO: 989.555 987.452 (-2.1)
41
-
50
Tie
119 total rounds
P1 Wins
34.5%
Ties
23.5%
P2 Wins
42.0%
GPT-4o mini (2024-07-18)
Player 2
ELO: 944 946 (+2.1)

Statistical Tie

This match is considered a tie even though the scores differ by 9 points. With 91 decisive rounds (Rounds not ending in a tie), that gap is not large enough to be statistically significant at 90 % confidence.

At this sample size, any difference below 12.2 points can still be explained by random chance rather than player skill.

Move Distribution

Analysis of move choices by each player

o1-mini (2024-09-12)

Rock 65
55.1%
Paper 36
30.5%
Scissors 17
14.4%

GPT-4o mini (2024-07-18)

Rock 38
32.2%
Paper 42
35.6%
Scissors 38
32.2%

Strategy Analysis

Performance insights from the match

Win Streaks

o1-mini (2024-09-12)
4
consecutive wins
GPT-4o mini (2024-07-18)
9
consecutive wins

Strategic Insights

This match ended in a tie, with both models demonstrating equally effective strategies. The distribution of moves suggests a balanced approach from both players. The match had a moderate tie rate of 23.5%, typical for Rock Paper Scissors games.

Cumulative Wins

Win progress throughout the match

O1-mini (2024-09-12)
GPT-4o mini (2024-07-18)

Win Percentage Over Time

Win rate progression through rounds

O1-mini (2024-09-12)
GPT-4o mini (2024-07-18)

Round-by-Round Results

# P1 P2 Result
1
P1
2
P1
3
Tie
4
P2
5
P1
6
Tie
7
P2
8
P1
9
P2
10
P1
11
P2
12
P2
13
P2
14
Tie
15
P2
16
Tie
17
P1
18
P2
19
P1
20
Tie
21
P1
22
P1
23
P2
24
Tie
25
P2
26
P1
27
P2
28
P1
29
P2
30
Tie
31
P1
32
P2
33
P2
34
P1
35
P2
36
Tie
37
P1
38
P1
39
Tie
40
P2
41
Tie
42
P2
43
P2
44
P2
45
P1
46
P1
47
Tie
48
Tie
49
P2
50
P2
51
P2
52
P1
53
P2
54
P1
55
Tie
56
Tie
57
P1
58
Tie
59
P2
60
P1
61
P2
62
P2
63
P1
64
P1
65
P1
66
P1
67
Tie
68
Tie
69
P2
70
P1
71
P1
72
P2
73
P1
74
P1
75
P2
76
P2
77
Tie
78
P1
79
Tie
80
P2
81
P1
82
P2
83
P2
84
P1
85
P2
86
P2
87
Tie
88
P2
89
P1
90
P2
91
P2
92
P2
93
P2
94
P2
95
P2
96
P2
97
P2
98
P2
99
P1
100
P2
101
Tie
102
P1
103
Tie
104
P1
105
Tie
106
P1
107
P1
108
P2
109
P2
110
Tie
111
P1
112
P1
113
Tie
114
P2
115
P1
116
Tie
117
Tie
118
P2

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