Rock Paper Scissors Match #92

Statistical Tie

This match is considered a tie even though the scores differ by 4 points. With 96 decisive rounds (Rounds not ending in a tie), that gap is not large enough to be statistically significant at 90 % confidence.

At this sample size, any difference below 12.6 points can still be explained by random chance rather than player skill.

Move Distribution

Analysis of move choices by each player

o3-mini high (2025-01-31)

Rock 47
34.3%
Paper 21
15.3%
Scissors 69
50.4%

Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)

Rock 33
24.1%
Paper 50
36.5%
Scissors 54
39.4%

Strategy Analysis

Performance insights from the match

Win Streaks

o3-mini high (2025-01-31)
4
consecutive wins
Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)
5
consecutive wins

Strategic Insights

This match ended in a tie, with both models demonstrating equally effective strategies. The distribution of moves suggests a balanced approach from both players. The match had a moderate tie rate of 30.4%, typical for Rock Paper Scissors games.

Cumulative Wins

Win progress throughout the match

O3-mini high (2025-01-31)
Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)

Win Percentage Over Time

Win rate progression through rounds

O3-mini high (2025-01-31)
Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)

Round-by-Round Results

# P1 P2 Result
1
P2
2
Tie
3
Tie
4
P1
5
Tie
6
P1
7
P1
8
P2
9
P2
10
Tie
11
P2
12
P1
13
P2
14
P2
15
P1
16
Tie
17
Tie
18
Tie
19
P1
20
P1
21
P1
22
P2
23
P1
24
P2
25
P2
26
P1
27
Tie
28
P1
29
P2
30
P1
31
Tie
32
P2
33
P2
34
Tie
35
P1
36
P1
37
P2
38
P2
39
Tie
40
Tie
41
P2
42
P2
43
P2
44
P2
45
P2
46
P1
47
Tie
48
P2
49
P1
50
P1
51
Tie
52
Tie
53
P2
54
P2
55
P1
56
Tie
57
P2
58
P1
59
P1
60
P2
61
P2
62
P2
63
Tie
64
P1
65
P2
66
P1
67
P2
68
P1
69
P1
70
P1
71
Tie
72
P1
73
P2
74
P1
75
P1
76
Tie
77
P2
78
Tie
79
P2
80
Tie
81
P1
82
P1
83
Tie
84
Tie
85
P1
86
Tie
87
Tie
88
P1
89
P1
90
Tie
91
P2
92
Tie
93
Tie
94
P2
95
P1
96
P2
97
P2
98
P1
99
P1
100
Tie
101
Tie
102
P2
103
P2
104
P1
105
P1
106
P1
107
P1
108
Tie
109
P1
110
Tie
111
Tie
112
P1
113
P1
114
Tie
115
P1
116
P1
117
P2
118
Tie
119
P1
120
P2
121
P2
122
P2
123
P1
124
P2
125
P2
126
Tie
127
P2
128
P2
129
Tie
130
Tie
131
Tie
132
P1
133
P1
134
Tie
135
Tie
136
P2
137
P1

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