Back Mar 02, 2025

Rock Paper Scissors Match #117

DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-70B
Player 1
ELO: 1,053.364 1,050.956 (-2.4)
47
-
50
Tie
148 total rounds
P1 Wins
31.8%
Ties
34.5%
P2 Wins
33.8%
o3-mini high (2025-01-31)
Player 2
ELO: 1,001 1,003 (+2.4)

Statistical Tie

This match is considered a tie even though the scores differ by 3 points. With 97 decisive rounds (Rounds not ending in a tie), that gap is not large enough to be statistically significant at 90 % confidence.

At this sample size, any difference below 12.6 points can still be explained by random chance rather than player skill.

Move Distribution

Analysis of move choices by each player

DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-70B

Rock 54
36.7%
Paper 49
33.3%
Scissors 44
29.9%

o3-mini high (2025-01-31)

Rock 44
29.9%
Paper 48
32.7%
Scissors 55
37.4%

Strategy Analysis

Performance insights from the match

Win Streaks

DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-70B
4
consecutive wins
o3-mini high (2025-01-31)
7
consecutive wins

Strategic Insights

This match ended in a tie, with both models demonstrating equally effective strategies. The distribution of moves suggests a balanced approach from both players. The match had a moderate tie rate of 34.5%, typical for Rock Paper Scissors games.

Cumulative Wins

Win progress throughout the match

DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-70B
O3-mini high (2025-01-31)

Win Percentage Over Time

Win rate progression through rounds

DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-70B
O3-mini high (2025-01-31)

Round-by-Round Results

# P1 P2 Result
1
Tie
2
P1
3
P1
4
P2
5
P2
6
Tie
7
P1
8
Tie
9
P2
10
P2
11
P1
12
P1
13
Tie
14
P1
15
P1
16
P2
17
P1
18
P1
19
P1
20
P1
21
P2
22
Tie
23
Tie
24
P2
25
P1
26
Tie
27
Tie
28
P1
29
P2
30
P2
31
Tie
32
P2
33
P2
34
P2
35
P2
36
P2
37
P2
38
P2
39
Tie
40
Tie
41
Tie
42
P1
43
P2
44
P2
45
Tie
46
P2
47
P1
48
P2
49
P2
50
Tie
51
Tie
52
P1
53
Tie
54
Tie
55
P1
56
Tie
57
P1
58
P1
59
Tie
60
Tie
61
Tie
62
Tie
63
P1
64
Tie
65
P1
66
P1
67
P2
68
P2
69
Tie
70
P2
71
P1
72
P1
73
Tie
74
Tie
75
Tie
76
P1
77
P2
78
P2
79
Tie
80
P1
81
Tie
82
Tie
83
Tie
84
P2
85
P2
86
P2
87
P2
88
P2
89
P1
90
P1
91
Tie
92
P2
93
P2
94
Tie
95
Tie
96
Tie
97
P1
98
P1
99
Tie
100
P2
101
P1
102
Tie
103
P1
104
Tie
105
P1
106
P1
107
Tie
108
P2
109
P2
110
P1
111
P1
112
Tie
113
P2
114
P2
115
P1
116
P1
117
P2
118
P2
119
P2
120
P1
121
P2
122
Tie
123
P1
124
P1
125
Tie
126
P1
127
P2
128
P1
129
Tie
130
Tie
131
Tie
132
P1
133
P2
134
Tie
135
Tie
136
P2
137
Tie
138
P1
139
P2
140
P2
141
P1
142
P2
143
Tie
144
P2
145
P1
146
Tie
147
P2

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