Rock Paper Scissors Match #192

Statistical Tie

This match is considered a tie even though the scores differ by 11 points. With 89 decisive rounds (Rounds not ending in a tie), that gap is not large enough to be statistically significant at 90 % confidence.

At this sample size, any difference below 12.1 points can still be explained by random chance rather than player skill.

Move Distribution

Analysis of move choices by each player

o3-mini high (2025-01-31)

Rock 36
30.3%
Paper 43
36.1%
Scissors 40
33.6%

DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-70B

Rock 40
33.6%
Paper 42
35.3%
Scissors 37
31.1%

Strategy Analysis

Performance insights from the match

Win Streaks

o3-mini high (2025-01-31)
5
consecutive wins
DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-70B
8
consecutive wins

Strategic Insights

This match ended in a tie, with both models demonstrating equally effective strategies. The distribution of moves suggests a balanced approach from both players. The match had a moderate tie rate of 25.8%, typical for Rock Paper Scissors games.

Cumulative Wins

Win progress throughout the match

O3-mini high (2025-01-31)
DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-70B

Win Percentage Over Time

Win rate progression through rounds

O3-mini high (2025-01-31)
DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-70B

Round-by-Round Results

# P1 P2 Result
1
P2
2
P2
3
P2
4
P1
5
P1
6
P2
7
P2
8
P1
9
P1
10
Tie
11
P2
12
P1
13
Tie
14
P2
15
Tie
16
Tie
17
P2
18
P2
19
P1
20
P1
21
P2
22
Tie
23
P1
24
P2
25
Tie
26
P1
27
P2
28
P2
29
P2
30
P2
31
P2
32
P2
33
P2
34
P2
35
P1
36
P2
37
P2
38
P1
39
Tie
40
P1
41
P2
42
Tie
43
P2
44
P1
45
Tie
46
P1
47
P2
48
P1
49
Tie
50
P1
51
P2
52
P1
53
Tie
54
Tie
55
P2
56
P1
57
P1
58
Tie
59
P2
60
Tie
61
Tie
62
P2
63
P2
64
P2
65
P2
66
P1
67
Tie
68
Tie
69
Tie
70
P1
71
P2
72
P1
73
P1
74
P1
75
P2
76
P2
77
Tie
78
P1
79
P1
80
Tie
81
P1
82
P2
83
Tie
84
P2
85
Tie
86
Tie
87
Tie
88
Tie
89
Tie
90
P2
91
P2
92
P2
93
P1
94
P1
95
P1
96
P1
97
P1
98
Tie
99
P1
100
P2
101
P2
102
P1
103
P2
104
P1
105
P1
106
P2
107
P1
108
Tie
109
P1
110
P1
111
P2
112
P2
113
P2
114
Tie
115
P2
116
P2
117
P2
118
Tie
119
P2

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