Back Mar 02, 2025

Rock Paper Scissors Match #206

o3-mini high (2025-01-31)
Player 1
ELO: 1,035.05 1,037.513 (+2.5)
46
-
50
Tie
127 total rounds
P1 Wins
36.2%
Ties
24.4%
P2 Wins
39.4%
DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-70B
Player 2
ELO: 1,089 1,087 (-2.5)

Statistical Tie

This match is considered a tie even though the scores differ by 4 points. With 96 decisive rounds (Rounds not ending in a tie), that gap is not large enough to be statistically significant at 90 % confidence.

At this sample size, any difference below 12.6 points can still be explained by random chance rather than player skill.

Move Distribution

Analysis of move choices by each player

o3-mini high (2025-01-31)

Rock 35
27.8%
Paper 39
31.0%
Scissors 52
41.3%

DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-70B

Rock 44
34.9%
Paper 44
34.9%
Scissors 38
30.2%

Strategy Analysis

Performance insights from the match

Win Streaks

o3-mini high (2025-01-31)
4
consecutive wins
DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-70B
5
consecutive wins

Strategic Insights

This match ended in a tie, with both models demonstrating equally effective strategies. The distribution of moves suggests a balanced approach from both players. The match had a moderate tie rate of 24.4%, typical for Rock Paper Scissors games.

Cumulative Wins

Win progress throughout the match

O3-mini high (2025-01-31)
DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-70B

Win Percentage Over Time

Win rate progression through rounds

O3-mini high (2025-01-31)
DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-70B

Round-by-Round Results

# P1 P2 Result
1
Tie
2
Tie
3
Tie
4
Tie
5
Tie
6
P2
7
P1
8
P1
9
P1
10
P2
11
P2
12
P1
13
P1
14
P1
15
Tie
16
P2
17
P1
18
P2
19
P2
20
P1
21
P2
22
P2
23
Tie
24
P2
25
P1
26
P2
27
Tie
28
Tie
29
P2
30
P1
31
P1
32
P2
33
Tie
34
P1
35
P1
36
P1
37
P2
38
P2
39
P1
40
P1
41
P2
42
Tie
43
P2
44
P2
45
P2
46
P2
47
P2
48
P1
49
P2
50
P2
51
Tie
52
Tie
53
P2
54
P2
55
Tie
56
P2
57
P1
58
P1
59
Tie
60
P1
61
P1
62
P2
63
P2
64
P2
65
P1
66
P1
67
P2
68
P1
69
P1
70
P2
71
P2
72
Tie
73
Tie
74
Tie
75
P2
76
Tie
77
P2
78
P1
79
P1
80
Tie
81
P1
82
P2
83
P1
84
P1
85
P2
86
P1
87
Tie
88
Tie
89
Tie
90
Tie
91
Tie
92
P1
93
P2
94
P2
95
P2
96
P2
97
Tie
98
P1
99
P2
100
P2
101
P1
102
Tie
103
P2
104
Tie
105
P2
106
P1
107
P1
108
P1
109
P1
110
P2
111
P1
112
Tie
113
P2
114
P1
115
P1
116
P1
117
P2
118
P1
119
P2
120
P1
121
P2
122
P2
123
P1
124
P1
125
Tie
126
P2

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