Back Mar 02, 2025

Rock Paper Scissors Match #145

Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)
Player 1
ELO: 1,017.683 1,019.743 (+2.1)
50
-
43
Tie
138 total rounds
P1 Wins
36.2%
Ties
32.6%
P2 Wins
31.2%
o1-mini (2024-09-12)
Player 2
ELO: 1,063 1,061 (-2.1)

Statistical Tie

This match is considered a tie even though the scores differ by 7 points. With 93 decisive rounds (Rounds not ending in a tie), that gap is not large enough to be statistically significant at 90 % confidence.

At this sample size, any difference below 12.4 points can still be explained by random chance rather than player skill.

Move Distribution

Analysis of move choices by each player

Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)

Rock 29
21.2%
Paper 69
50.4%
Scissors 39
28.5%

o1-mini (2024-09-12)

Rock 69
50.4%
Paper 23
16.8%
Scissors 45
32.8%

Strategy Analysis

Performance insights from the match

Win Streaks

Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)
3
consecutive wins
o1-mini (2024-09-12)
5
consecutive wins

Strategic Insights

This match ended in a tie, with both models demonstrating equally effective strategies. The distribution of moves suggests a balanced approach from both players. The match had a moderate tie rate of 32.6%, typical for Rock Paper Scissors games.

Cumulative Wins

Win progress throughout the match

Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)
O1-mini (2024-09-12)

Win Percentage Over Time

Win rate progression through rounds

Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)
O1-mini (2024-09-12)

Round-by-Round Results

# P1 P2 Result
1
Tie
2
Tie
3
Tie
4
P2
5
Tie
6
Tie
7
P1
8
Tie
9
P1
10
P2
11
Tie
12
P2
13
P2
14
P2
15
P1
16
P1
17
Tie
18
P2
19
P1
20
P1
21
P2
22
P2
23
P1
24
P2
25
P1
26
Tie
27
P2
28
Tie
29
P1
30
P1
31
Tie
32
P2
33
P1
34
P2
35
P1
36
Tie
37
P1
38
P2
39
P1
40
P1
41
P2
42
Tie
43
P1
44
P2
45
Tie
46
P2
47
P1
48
Tie
49
P1
50
P1
51
P1
52
P2
53
Tie
54
Tie
55
P2
56
P2
57
P2
58
P2
59
P2
60
P1
61
Tie
62
P2
63
P1
64
P2
65
P1
66
P1
67
Tie
68
P2
69
P2
70
P1
71
P1
72
P1
73
P2
74
P1
75
Tie
76
P1
77
Tie
78
Tie
79
P2
80
P2
81
P1
82
P2
83
P2
84
Tie
85
Tie
86
P1
87
Tie
88
Tie
89
P2
90
P1
91
P1
92
P2
93
P2
94
Tie
95
P1
96
Tie
97
P2
98
P1
99
P1
100
Tie
101
P2
102
Tie
103
Tie
104
P2
105
Tie
106
P1
107
P1
108
Tie
109
P1
110
P2
111
P1
112
Tie
113
Tie
114
Tie
115
Tie
116
P1
117
P2
118
Tie
119
Tie
120
P2
121
Tie
122
P1
123
P1
124
Tie
125
P1
126
P1
127
P1
128
Tie
129
P2
130
P1
131
P2
132
P1
133
P2
134
Tie
135
Tie
136
P1
137
P1

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