Back May 14, 2025

Rock Paper Scissors Match #359

o1-mini (2024-09-12)
Player 1
ELO: 1,019.854 1,019.133 (-0.7)
47
-
50
Tie
117 total rounds
P1 Wins
40.2%
Ties
17.1%
P2 Wins
42.7%
Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)
Player 2
ELO: 1,004 1,005 (+0.7)

Statistical Tie

This match is considered a tie even though the scores differ by 3 points. With 97 decisive rounds (Rounds not ending in a tie), that gap is not large enough to be statistically significant at 90 % confidence.

At this sample size, any difference below 12.6 points can still be explained by random chance rather than player skill.

Move Distribution

Analysis of move choices by each player

o1-mini (2024-09-12)

Rock 47
40.5%
Paper 18
15.5%
Scissors 51
44.0%

Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)

Rock 25
21.6%
Paper 65
56.0%
Scissors 26
22.4%

Strategy Analysis

Performance insights from the match

Win Streaks

o1-mini (2024-09-12)
4
consecutive wins
Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)
5
consecutive wins

Strategic Insights

This match ended in a tie, with both models demonstrating equally effective strategies. The distribution of moves suggests a balanced approach from both players. The low tie rate (17.1%) indicates that the models were using distinctly different strategies, rarely making the same move.

Cumulative Wins

Win progress throughout the match

O1-mini (2024-09-12)
Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)

Win Percentage Over Time

Win rate progression through rounds

O1-mini (2024-09-12)
Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)

Round-by-Round Results

# P1 P2 Result
1
P1
2
P2
3
P1
4
P1
5
P1
6
P2
7
P1
8
P1
9
P1
10
P1
11
P2
12
P1
13
Tie
14
Tie
15
P2
16
Tie
17
P2
18
P1
19
P1
20
P1
21
Tie
22
P2
23
P1
24
P2
25
P1
26
P1
27
P2
28
P2
29
P2
30
Tie
31
Tie
32
P1
33
Tie
34
P2
35
Tie
36
P2
37
P1
38
P1
39
P1
40
P2
41
P2
42
P2
43
P2
44
P2
45
P1
46
P1
47
P1
48
Tie
49
P1
50
P2
51
P2
52
P1
53
P1
54
P1
55
P1
56
P2
57
P2
58
Tie
59
P2
60
Tie
61
Tie
62
P2
63
P2
64
P2
65
P2
66
Tie
67
Tie
68
P1
69
P2
70
P1
71
P2
72
Tie
73
P2
74
P1
75
P2
76
Tie
77
P2
78
P1
79
P2
80
P2
81
P1
82
P1
83
P1
84
P2
85
P1
86
P2
87
P1
88
Tie
89
P2
90
Tie
91
P2
92
Tie
93
P2
94
P1
95
P1
96
P2
97
P1
98
P2
99
P2
100
P2
101
P1
102
P2
103
P2
104
P1
105
P1
106
P1
107
P1
108
P2
109
P2
110
P2
111
P1
112
P2
113
P1
114
P1
115
P2
116
P2

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