Back Mar 03, 2025

Rock Paper Scissors Match #262

Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)
Player 1
ELO: 996.79 1,000.701 (+3.9)
50
-
43
Tie
127 total rounds
P1 Wins
39.4%
Ties
26.8%
P2 Wins
33.9%
o1-mini (2024-09-12)
Player 2
ELO: 1,083 1,080 (-3.9)

Statistical Tie

This match is considered a tie even though the scores differ by 7 points. With 93 decisive rounds (Rounds not ending in a tie), that gap is not large enough to be statistically significant at 90 % confidence.

At this sample size, any difference below 12.4 points can still be explained by random chance rather than player skill.

Move Distribution

Analysis of move choices by each player

Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)

Rock 32
25.4%
Paper 58
46.0%
Scissors 36
28.6%

o1-mini (2024-09-12)

Rock 53
42.1%
Paper 26
20.6%
Scissors 47
37.3%

Strategy Analysis

Performance insights from the match

Win Streaks

Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)
5
consecutive wins
o1-mini (2024-09-12)
5
consecutive wins

Strategic Insights

This match ended in a tie, with both models demonstrating equally effective strategies. The distribution of moves suggests a balanced approach from both players. The match had a moderate tie rate of 26.8%, typical for Rock Paper Scissors games.

Cumulative Wins

Win progress throughout the match

Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)
O1-mini (2024-09-12)

Win Percentage Over Time

Win rate progression through rounds

Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)
O1-mini (2024-09-12)

Round-by-Round Results

# P1 P2 Result
1
Tie
2
Tie
3
P2
4
Tie
5
Tie
6
P2
7
P1
8
P1
9
P1
10
Tie
11
P2
12
P1
13
P2
14
P1
15
P1
16
P1
17
P2
18
P1
19
P2
20
P2
21
P2
22
P1
23
P2
24
P1
25
Tie
26
P1
27
P1
28
Tie
29
P1
30
P2
31
P1
32
P2
33
P1
34
Tie
35
Tie
36
P1
37
P2
38
P2
39
Tie
40
Tie
41
Tie
42
P1
43
Tie
44
P1
45
P2
46
Tie
47
P2
48
Tie
49
P2
50
P2
51
P2
52
P2
53
P1
54
P1
55
Tie
56
P2
57
P1
58
P1
59
P2
60
P1
61
P1
62
P1
63
P2
64
P2
65
P2
66
P2
67
P2
68
P1
69
P2
70
Tie
71
P1
72
P2
73
P2
74
Tie
75
P2
76
P1
77
P1
78
Tie
79
Tie
80
P1
81
P1
82
Tie
83
Tie
84
P2
85
P2
86
Tie
87
P2
88
P1
89
P2
90
Tie
91
P1
92
P1
93
Tie
94
P2
95
Tie
96
P1
97
P1
98
P1
99
P2
100
P1
101
P1
102
P1
103
P1
104
P1
105
P2
106
Tie
107
P1
108
P1
109
Tie
110
P1
111
Tie
112
Tie
113
P2
114
P2
115
Tie
116
P2
117
P1
118
P2
119
P2
120
P1
121
Tie
122
Tie
123
P1
124
P2
125
P1
126
P1

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