Back Mar 01, 2025

Rock Paper Scissors Match #16

o3-mini low (2025-01-31)
Player 1
ELO: 1,000 1,000
48
-
50
Tie
142 total rounds
P1 Wins
33.8%
Ties
31.0%
P2 Wins
35.2%
Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)
Player 2
ELO: 1,000 1,000

Statistical Tie

This match is considered a tie even though the scores differ by 2 points. With 98 decisive rounds (Rounds not ending in a tie), that gap is not large enough to be statistically significant at 90 % confidence.

At this sample size, any difference below 12.7 points can still be explained by random chance rather than player skill.

Move Distribution

Analysis of move choices by each player

o3-mini low (2025-01-31)

Rock 49
34.8%
Paper 50
35.5%
Scissors 42
29.8%

Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)

Rock 7
5.0%
Paper 111
78.7%
Scissors 23
16.3%

Strategy Analysis

Performance insights from the match

Win Streaks

o3-mini low (2025-01-31)
2
consecutive wins
Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)
5
consecutive wins

Strategic Insights

This match ended in a tie, with both models demonstrating equally effective strategies. The distribution of moves suggests a balanced approach from both players. The match had a moderate tie rate of 31.0%, typical for Rock Paper Scissors games.

Cumulative Wins

Win progress throughout the match

O3-mini low (2025-01-31)
Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)

Win Percentage Over Time

Win rate progression through rounds

O3-mini low (2025-01-31)
Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)

Round-by-Round Results

# P1 P2 Result
1
Tie
2
Tie
3
P1
4
P1
5
P2
6
P1
7
Tie
8
P1
9
Tie
10
P2
11
P1
12
Tie
13
P2
14
Tie
15
P2
16
P1
17
P2
18
Tie
19
P1
20
Tie
21
Tie
22
P1
23
P1
24
P2
25
Tie
26
P2
27
P2
28
P1
29
P2
30
P2
31
P1
32
Tie
33
P2
34
P1
35
P2
36
P2
37
P1
38
Tie
39
P2
40
P2
41
P2
42
P2
43
P2
44
P1
45
P2
46
P2
47
P2
48
Tie
49
Tie
50
Tie
51
P2
52
Tie
53
Tie
54
Tie
55
P1
56
Tie
57
Tie
58
Tie
59
P1
60
P2
61
Tie
62
P1
63
P2
64
P2
65
P2
66
Tie
67
P2
68
P1
69
P2
70
P1
71
P2
72
P1
73
P1
74
Tie
75
P1
76
Tie
77
Tie
78
P1
79
P2
80
Tie
81
Tie
82
P1
83
P2
84
P2
85
P1
86
Tie
87
Tie
88
P2
89
P1
90
P2
91
P1
92
P1
93
P2
94
P1
95
P1
96
Tie
97
P2
98
Tie
99
P1
100
P2
101
Tie
102
P1
103
Tie
104
Tie
105
P2
106
P1
107
Tie
108
P1
109
P1
110
P2
111
P2
112
Tie
113
P1
114
Tie
115
P1
116
P1
117
P2
118
P2
119
P2
120
P1
121
P2
122
P1
123
P1
124
P2
125
P1
126
P1
127
P2
128
P2
129
Tie
130
P1
131
P2
132
Tie
133
P1
134
Tie
135
P1
136
P1
137
P2
138
P1
139
Tie
140
Tie
141
P2

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