Back Mar 01, 2025

Rock Paper Scissors Match #23

o3-mini low (2025-01-31)
Player 1
ELO: 1,000 1,000
43
-
50
Tie
149 total rounds
P1 Wins
28.9%
Ties
37.6%
P2 Wins
33.6%
Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)
Player 2
ELO: 1,000 1,000

Statistical Tie

This match is considered a tie even though the scores differ by 7 points. With 93 decisive rounds (Rounds not ending in a tie), that gap is not large enough to be statistically significant at 90 % confidence.

At this sample size, any difference below 12.4 points can still be explained by random chance rather than player skill.

Move Distribution

Analysis of move choices by each player

o3-mini low (2025-01-31)

Rock 46
31.1%
Paper 63
42.6%
Scissors 39
26.4%

Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)

Rock 24
16.2%
Paper 94
63.5%
Scissors 30
20.3%

Strategy Analysis

Performance insights from the match

Win Streaks

o3-mini low (2025-01-31)
6
consecutive wins
Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)
4
consecutive wins

Strategic Insights

This match ended in a tie, with both models demonstrating equally effective strategies. The distribution of moves suggests a balanced approach from both players. The match had a moderate tie rate of 37.6%, typical for Rock Paper Scissors games.

Cumulative Wins

Win progress throughout the match

O3-mini low (2025-01-31)
Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)

Win Percentage Over Time

Win rate progression through rounds

O3-mini low (2025-01-31)
Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)

Round-by-Round Results

# P1 P2 Result
1
Tie
2
P2
3
P2
4
P2
5
P1
6
P2
7
P2
8
P2
9
P1
10
P1
11
P1
12
P1
13
P1
14
P1
15
P2
16
P2
17
P2
18
P2
19
P1
20
P1
21
P2
22
P1
23
P2
24
P1
25
P1
26
Tie
27
P2
28
Tie
29
P1
30
P2
31
Tie
32
P1
33
Tie
34
P2
35
P2
36
Tie
37
P1
38
P1
39
P2
40
P1
41
P2
42
P2
43
P2
44
Tie
45
P2
46
P1
47
P1
48
P2
49
P1
50
Tie
51
Tie
52
P2
53
P2
54
Tie
55
Tie
56
Tie
57
Tie
58
P1
59
Tie
60
Tie
61
Tie
62
P2
63
P2
64
P2
65
P2
66
Tie
67
P2
68
Tie
69
P1
70
P2
71
P2
72
Tie
73
P1
74
P2
75
Tie
76
Tie
77
Tie
78
P2
79
Tie
80
P2
81
P2
82
Tie
83
Tie
84
P2
85
P1
86
P2
87
P2
88
P2
89
Tie
90
P2
91
Tie
92
P1
93
Tie
94
P1
95
Tie
96
Tie
97
P2
98
P2
99
P1
100
P1
101
Tie
102
Tie
103
P1
104
P1
105
Tie
106
P1
107
Tie
108
P1
109
P1
110
P2
111
Tie
112
P2
113
Tie
114
Tie
115
P2
116
P1
117
Tie
118
Tie
119
Tie
120
P1
121
Tie
122
P1
123
Tie
124
P1
125
Tie
126
Tie
127
P2
128
Tie
129
Tie
130
P1
131
P2
132
Tie
133
Tie
134
P1
135
Tie
136
Tie
137
Tie
138
Tie
139
P2
140
P2
141
Tie
142
P1
143
P1
144
P1
145
Tie
146
P1
147
Tie
148
P2

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