Back Mar 02, 2025

Rock Paper Scissors Match #199

Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)
Player 1
ELO: 985.622 990.37 (+4.7)
48
-
50
Tie
132 total rounds
P1 Wins
36.4%
Ties
25.8%
P2 Wins
37.9%
o1-mini (2024-09-12)
Player 2
ELO: 1,092 1,087 (-4.7)

Statistical Tie

This match is considered a tie even though the scores differ by 2 points. With 98 decisive rounds (Rounds not ending in a tie), that gap is not large enough to be statistically significant at 90 % confidence.

At this sample size, any difference below 12.7 points can still be explained by random chance rather than player skill.

Move Distribution

Analysis of move choices by each player

Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)

Rock 21
16.0%
Paper 60
45.8%
Scissors 50
38.2%

o1-mini (2024-09-12)

Rock 60
45.8%
Paper 22
16.8%
Scissors 49
37.4%

Strategy Analysis

Performance insights from the match

Win Streaks

Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)
4
consecutive wins
o1-mini (2024-09-12)
7
consecutive wins

Strategic Insights

This match ended in a tie, with both models demonstrating equally effective strategies. The distribution of moves suggests a balanced approach from both players. The match had a moderate tie rate of 25.8%, typical for Rock Paper Scissors games.

Cumulative Wins

Win progress throughout the match

Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)
O1-mini (2024-09-12)

Win Percentage Over Time

Win rate progression through rounds

Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)
O1-mini (2024-09-12)

Round-by-Round Results

# P1 P2 Result
1
P2
2
P1
3
P1
4
P2
5
Tie
6
P2
7
P2
8
Tie
9
P2
10
P1
11
P2
12
P1
13
P1
14
P2
15
P2
16
P1
17
P2
18
P2
19
P1
20
P1
21
P2
22
P1
23
P1
24
Tie
25
Tie
26
Tie
27
P1
28
P1
29
P2
30
P1
31
P2
32
P1
33
P2
34
Tie
35
P2
36
P2
37
P2
38
P2
39
P2
40
P2
41
Tie
42
P1
43
Tie
44
P2
45
P1
46
P1
47
Tie
48
Tie
49
Tie
50
Tie
51
P2
52
P2
53
Tie
54
P2
55
Tie
56
Tie
57
P2
58
Tie
59
P1
60
P1
61
P1
62
P2
63
P2
64
P1
65
P1
66
P1
67
P1
68
P2
69
P1
70
P1
71
P1
72
Tie
73
P2
74
P2
75
P1
76
P1
77
Tie
78
Tie
79
P1
80
P1
81
P2
82
P2
83
P1
84
P2
85
Tie
86
P2
87
P2
88
P2
89
P2
90
P2
91
P2
92
P2
93
Tie
94
P2
95
Tie
96
P1
97
P1
98
Tie
99
P1
100
Tie
101
P1
102
Tie
103
Tie
104
P1
105
P1
106
P2
107
P2
108
P2
109
Tie
110
Tie
111
P1
112
P1
113
P1
114
P2
115
P1
116
Tie
117
P2
118
Tie
119
P1
120
P2
121
Tie
122
P1
123
Tie
124
Tie
125
P1
126
P2
127
P1
128
P2
129
P1
130
P1
131
P2

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