Back Mar 02, 2025

Rock Paper Scissors Match #222

o1-mini (2024-09-12)
Player 1
ELO: 1,004.228 1,003.365 (-0.9)
50
-
49
Tie
128 total rounds
P1 Wins
39.1%
Ties
22.7%
P2 Wins
38.3%
Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)
Player 2
ELO: 985 986 (+0.9)

Statistical Tie

This match is considered a tie even though the scores differ by 1 points. With 99 decisive rounds (Rounds not ending in a tie), that gap is not large enough to be statistically significant at 90 % confidence.

At this sample size, any difference below 12.8 points can still be explained by random chance rather than player skill.

Move Distribution

Analysis of move choices by each player

o1-mini (2024-09-12)

Rock 55
43.3%
Paper 10
7.9%
Scissors 62
48.8%

Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)

Rock 24
18.9%
Paper 76
59.8%
Scissors 27
21.3%

Strategy Analysis

Performance insights from the match

Win Streaks

o1-mini (2024-09-12)
5
consecutive wins
Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)
4
consecutive wins

Strategic Insights

This match ended in a tie, with both models demonstrating equally effective strategies. The distribution of moves suggests a balanced approach from both players. The match had a moderate tie rate of 22.7%, typical for Rock Paper Scissors games.

Cumulative Wins

Win progress throughout the match

O1-mini (2024-09-12)
Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)

Win Percentage Over Time

Win rate progression through rounds

O1-mini (2024-09-12)
Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)

Round-by-Round Results

# P1 P2 Result
1
Tie
2
P2
3
P1
4
Tie
5
P2
6
P1
7
P2
8
P1
9
Tie
10
Tie
11
Tie
12
P1
13
P1
14
Tie
15
Tie
16
P2
17
P1
18
P1
19
P1
20
P2
21
P1
22
P2
23
P2
24
Tie
25
P1
26
P1
27
P2
28
Tie
29
Tie
30
P1
31
P2
32
Tie
33
P2
34
Tie
35
P1
36
P2
37
Tie
38
Tie
39
P2
40
P1
41
P2
42
P1
43
P2
44
P2
45
P2
46
P2
47
P1
48
Tie
49
Tie
50
P1
51
P1
52
Tie
53
Tie
54
Tie
55
P2
56
P2
57
P1
58
P2
59
P1
60
P1
61
P1
62
P1
63
P1
64
P2
65
P2
66
P1
67
P1
68
P1
69
Tie
70
P2
71
Tie
72
P1
73
Tie
74
P1
75
P1
76
Tie
77
P2
78
P2
79
P1
80
P1
81
P1
82
P2
83
P2
84
P1
85
P2
86
P2
87
P2
88
P2
89
P1
90
P2
91
P1
92
P1
93
P1
94
P1
95
P2
96
P2
97
P1
98
P1
99
Tie
100
P2
101
P2
102
P1
103
P1
104
P1
105
P2
106
P2
107
P2
108
P1
109
P2
110
Tie
111
P1
112
P2
113
P2
114
P1
115
P2
116
P2
117
Tie
118
P2
119
P2
120
P2
121
Tie
122
Tie
123
P1
124
P2
125
P1
126
P2
127
P1

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