Back Mar 02, 2025

Rock Paper Scissors Match #238

o1-mini (2024-09-12)
Player 1
ELO: 1,003.816 1,002.353 (-1.5)
50
-
39
Tie
116 total rounds
P1 Wins
43.1%
Ties
23.3%
P2 Wins
33.6%
Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)
Player 2
ELO: 972 973 (+1.5)

Statistical Tie

This match is considered a tie even though the scores differ by 11 points. With 89 decisive rounds (Rounds not ending in a tie), that gap is not large enough to be statistically significant at 90 % confidence.

At this sample size, any difference below 12.1 points can still be explained by random chance rather than player skill.

Move Distribution

Analysis of move choices by each player

o1-mini (2024-09-12)

Rock 49
42.6%
Paper 4
3.5%
Scissors 62
53.9%

Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)

Rock 14
12.2%
Paper 70
60.9%
Scissors 31
27.0%

Strategy Analysis

Performance insights from the match

Win Streaks

o1-mini (2024-09-12)
5
consecutive wins
Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)
6
consecutive wins

Strategic Insights

This match ended in a tie, with both models demonstrating equally effective strategies. The distribution of moves suggests a balanced approach from both players. The match had a moderate tie rate of 23.3%, typical for Rock Paper Scissors games.

Cumulative Wins

Win progress throughout the match

O1-mini (2024-09-12)
Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)

Win Percentage Over Time

Win rate progression through rounds

O1-mini (2024-09-12)
Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)

Round-by-Round Results

# P1 P2 Result
1
Tie
2
Tie
3
Tie
4
P1
5
P1
6
P2
7
P2
8
Tie
9
P2
10
P1
11
Tie
12
P2
13
Tie
14
Tie
15
P2
16
Tie
17
P1
18
P2
19
P1
20
P1
21
P1
22
P2
23
Tie
24
Tie
25
P1
26
P1
27
P2
28
P1
29
P2
30
P2
31
P2
32
P1
33
P1
34
P1
35
P1
36
P1
37
P2
38
P1
39
Tie
40
P1
41
P1
42
P1
43
P2
44
P1
45
P2
46
P1
47
Tie
48
P2
49
Tie
50
Tie
51
P2
52
P2
53
P2
54
Tie
55
Tie
56
P1
57
Tie
58
P1
59
Tie
60
P1
61
P2
62
P2
63
P2
64
P2
65
P1
66
P1
67
P1
68
P1
69
P1
70
Tie
71
P2
72
P1
73
P1
74
Tie
75
P1
76
Tie
77
Tie
78
P1
79
Tie
80
P1
81
P1
82
P2
83
P1
84
P1
85
Tie
86
P1
87
P2
88
P2
89
P1
90
P1
91
Tie
92
P2
93
P1
94
P1
95
P1
96
P2
97
P2
98
P2
99
Tie
100
P1
101
P1
102
P1
103
P2
104
P2
105
P2
106
P1
107
P1
108
P1
109
P2
110
P2
111
P2
112
P2
113
P2
114
P2
115
P1

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