Back May 10, 2025

Rock Paper Scissors Match #310

Claude 3.7 Sonnet (2025-02-19)
Player 1
ELO: 978.559 979.545 (+1.0)
45
-
50
Tie
156 total rounds
P1 Wins
28.8%
Ties
39.1%
P2 Wins
32.1%
o4-mini medium (2025-04-16)
Player 2
ELO: 1,000 999 (-1.0)

Statistical Tie

This match is considered a tie even though the scores differ by 5 points. With 95 decisive rounds (Rounds not ending in a tie), that gap is not large enough to be statistically significant at 90 % confidence.

At this sample size, any difference below 12.5 points can still be explained by random chance rather than player skill.

Move Distribution

Analysis of move choices by each player

Claude 3.7 Sonnet (2025-02-19)

Rock 53
34.2%
Paper 59
38.1%
Scissors 43
27.7%

o4-mini medium (2025-04-16)

Rock 29
18.7%
Paper 36
23.2%
Scissors 90
58.1%

Strategy Analysis

Performance insights from the match

Win Streaks

Claude 3.7 Sonnet (2025-02-19)
5
consecutive wins
o4-mini medium (2025-04-16)
6
consecutive wins

Strategic Insights

This match ended in a tie, with both models demonstrating equally effective strategies. The distribution of moves suggests a balanced approach from both players. The match had a moderate tie rate of 39.1%, typical for Rock Paper Scissors games.

Cumulative Wins

Win progress throughout the match

Claude 3.7 Sonnet (2025-02-19)
O4-mini medium (2025-04-16)

Win Percentage Over Time

Win rate progression through rounds

Claude 3.7 Sonnet (2025-02-19)
O4-mini medium (2025-04-16)

Round-by-Round Results

# P1 P2 Result
1
Tie
2
Tie
3
P2
4
Tie
5
Tie
6
Tie
7
P2
8
P1
9
P2
10
Tie
11
Tie
12
P1
13
Tie
14
P2
15
P1
16
P2
17
P1
18
P1
19
P2
20
P2
21
P1
22
Tie
23
Tie
24
P2
25
Tie
26
P1
27
P2
28
P1
29
Tie
30
Tie
31
P1
32
P2
33
Tie
34
Tie
35
P2
36
Tie
37
P2
38
Tie
39
Tie
40
Tie
41
P1
42
Tie
43
P2
44
P2
45
Tie
46
P1
47
P2
48
Tie
49
P1
50
P2
51
P1
52
P2
53
P2
54
P2
55
P2
56
P2
57
P2
58
Tie
59
P1
60
P2
61
P1
62
P2
63
P1
64
P1
65
Tie
66
Tie
67
P1
68
P2
69
P2
70
P1
71
Tie
72
P1
73
Tie
74
P1
75
Tie
76
P1
77
P1
78
P1
79
P2
80
P1
81
P2
82
Tie
83
P1
84
P1
85
Tie
86
Tie
87
P2
88
P2
89
Tie
90
P1
91
P2
92
Tie
93
P2
94
P2
95
P1
96
P2
97
P2
98
Tie
99
P2
100
P1
101
P1
102
Tie
103
Tie
104
Tie
105
Tie
106
Tie
107
Tie
108
Tie
109
P2
110
P1
111
P1
112
Tie
113
P1
114
P2
115
Tie
116
P2
117
P1
118
Tie
119
Tie
120
Tie
121
Tie
122
P2
123
Tie
124
P2
125
P2
126
Tie
127
P1
128
Tie
129
Tie
130
P1
131
P1
132
P1
133
P1
134
P1
135
Tie
136
Tie
137
P2
138
Tie
139
P2
140
Tie
141
P1
142
P1
143
Tie
144
P1
145
P2
146
Tie
147
P2
148
P2
149
P1
150
P2
151
Tie
152
P2
153
Tie
154
Tie
155
P2

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