Back May 10, 2025

Rock Paper Scissors Match #311

o4-mini medium (2025-04-16)
Player 1
ELO: 1,000 999.172 (-0.8)
50
-
39
Tie
125 total rounds
P1 Wins
40.0%
Ties
28.8%
P2 Wins
31.2%
Claude 3.7 Sonnet (2025-02-19)
Player 2
ELO: 982 983 (+0.8)

Statistical Tie

This match is considered a tie even though the scores differ by 11 points. With 89 decisive rounds (Rounds not ending in a tie), that gap is not large enough to be statistically significant at 90 % confidence.

At this sample size, any difference below 12.1 points can still be explained by random chance rather than player skill.

Move Distribution

Analysis of move choices by each player

o4-mini medium (2025-04-16)

Rock 17
13.7%
Paper 32
25.8%
Scissors 75
60.5%

Claude 3.7 Sonnet (2025-02-19)

Rock 39
31.5%
Paper 56
45.2%
Scissors 29
23.4%

Strategy Analysis

Performance insights from the match

Win Streaks

o4-mini medium (2025-04-16)
8
consecutive wins
Claude 3.7 Sonnet (2025-02-19)
3
consecutive wins

Strategic Insights

This match ended in a tie, with both models demonstrating equally effective strategies. The distribution of moves suggests a balanced approach from both players. The match had a moderate tie rate of 28.8%, typical for Rock Paper Scissors games.

Cumulative Wins

Win progress throughout the match

O4-mini medium (2025-04-16)
Claude 3.7 Sonnet (2025-02-19)

Win Percentage Over Time

Win rate progression through rounds

O4-mini medium (2025-04-16)
Claude 3.7 Sonnet (2025-02-19)

Round-by-Round Results

# P1 P2 Result
1
P2
2
P1
3
Tie
4
P1
5
Tie
6
Tie
7
P1
8
Tie
9
Tie
10
P2
11
P1
12
P2
13
P1
14
P1
15
P2
16
P1
17
P2
18
P2
19
Tie
20
P1
21
P2
22
P2
23
Tie
24
P2
25
P1
26
Tie
27
Tie
28
Tie
29
P2
30
P2
31
P1
32
Tie
33
P2
34
P1
35
P2
36
P1
37
P2
38
Tie
39
P1
40
P2
41
Tie
42
Tie
43
P2
44
P2
45
P1
46
P2
47
Tie
48
P2
49
P1
50
Tie
51
P1
52
P2
53
P2
54
P2
55
Tie
56
Tie
57
Tie
58
P1
59
P1
60
P1
61
P1
62
P1
63
P1
64
P1
65
P1
66
P2
67
P2
68
P2
69
P1
70
P2
71
P1
72
P1
73
P1
74
P1
75
P1
76
Tie
77
P1
78
P2
79
P2
80
Tie
81
Tie
82
P2
83
P2
84
Tie
85
Tie
86
P1
87
Tie
88
P1
89
P1
90
Tie
91
P2
92
Tie
93
P1
94
P2
95
P2
96
P1
97
P1
98
Tie
99
Tie
100
P1
101
P2
102
P1
103
Tie
104
P1
105
P1
106
P2
107
P1
108
P1
109
P2
110
P1
111
P2
112
P1
113
Tie
114
Tie
115
P1
116
P2
117
P1
118
Tie
119
Tie
120
Tie
121
P2
122
P1
123
P1
124
P1

Similar Matches

Match #478 May 20, 2025
o4-mini medium (2025-04-16)
Player 1
VS
Claude 3.7 Sonnet (2025-02-19)
Player 2
50
135 rounds
46
Tie Statistical
View details
Match #468 May 20, 2025
o4-mini medium (2025-04-16)
Player 1
VS
Claude 3.7 Sonnet (2025-02-19)
Player 2
50
120 rounds
36
o4-mini medium (2025-04-16) wins
View details
Match #396 May 14, 2025
Claude 3.7 Sonnet (2025-02-19)
Player 1
VS
o4-mini medium (2025-04-16)
Player 2
39
117 rounds
50
Tie Statistical
View details