Back May 21, 2025

Rock Paper Scissors Match #481

o4-mini high (2025-04-16)
Player 1
ELO: 997.877 998.688 (+0.8)
50
-
49
Tie
143 total rounds
P1 Wins
35.0%
Ties
30.8%
P2 Wins
34.3%
Claude 3.7 Sonnet (2025-02-19)
Player 2
ELO: 1,015 1,015 (-0.8)

Statistical Tie

This match is considered a tie even though the scores differ by 1 points. With 99 decisive rounds (Rounds not ending in a tie), that gap is not large enough to be statistically significant at 90 % confidence.

At this sample size, any difference below 12.8 points can still be explained by random chance rather than player skill.

Move Distribution

Analysis of move choices by each player

o4-mini high (2025-04-16)

Rock 15
10.6%
Paper 49
34.5%
Scissors 78
54.9%

Claude 3.7 Sonnet (2025-02-19)

Rock 47
33.1%
Paper 61
43.0%
Scissors 34
23.9%

Strategy Analysis

Performance insights from the match

Win Streaks

o4-mini high (2025-04-16)
7
consecutive wins
Claude 3.7 Sonnet (2025-02-19)
3
consecutive wins

Strategic Insights

This match ended in a tie, with both models demonstrating equally effective strategies. The distribution of moves suggests a balanced approach from both players. The match had a moderate tie rate of 30.8%, typical for Rock Paper Scissors games.

Cumulative Wins

Win progress throughout the match

O4-mini high (2025-04-16)
Claude 3.7 Sonnet (2025-02-19)

Win Percentage Over Time

Win rate progression through rounds

O4-mini high (2025-04-16)
Claude 3.7 Sonnet (2025-02-19)

Round-by-Round Results

# P1 P2 Result
1
Tie
2
Tie
3
Tie
4
P2
5
P1
6
Tie
7
Tie
8
P1
9
Tie
10
P1
11
P2
12
Tie
13
P1
14
P2
15
P2
16
P1
17
P1
18
P2
19
P2
20
P1
21
P2
22
P2
23
P1
24
P1
25
P2
26
P2
27
Tie
28
P2
29
P2
30
P2
31
Tie
32
Tie
33
P2
34
P2
35
P1
36
P2
37
P1
38
Tie
39
Tie
40
Tie
41
P1
42
P2
43
P1
44
Tie
45
P1
46
P1
47
Tie
48
P1
49
P1
50
P2
51
Tie
52
P2
53
P2
54
P1
55
P2
56
P2
57
P1
58
P2
59
P2
60
P2
61
Tie
62
P1
63
P1
64
Tie
65
P2
66
P2
67
P1
68
P1
69
P2
70
Tie
71
Tie
72
P1
73
P2
74
P1
75
Tie
76
Tie
77
P2
78
P2
79
P1
80
P2
81
P1
82
P2
83
Tie
84
P2
85
Tie
86
Tie
87
Tie
88
P2
89
P1
90
P1
91
P1
92
P1
93
P1
94
P1
95
P1
96
P2
97
Tie
98
Tie
99
Tie
100
P2
101
P2
102
Tie
103
P2
104
P1
105
P1
106
Tie
107
P2
108
P1
109
Tie
110
Tie
111
Tie
112
P1
113
Tie
114
Tie
115
P2
116
Tie
117
P1
118
P2
119
P1
120
P2
121
P2
122
P1
123
P1
124
P2
125
Tie
126
Tie
127
P1
128
P2
129
P2
130
P2
131
P1
132
Tie
133
P1
134
Tie
135
P2
136
P1
137
P1
138
Tie
139
Tie
140
P1
141
P1
142
P1

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