Back Mar 02, 2025

Rock Paper Scissors Match #89

o1-mini (2024-09-12)
Player 1
ELO: 987.452 987.212 (-0.2)
50
-
38
Tie
115 total rounds
P1 Wins
43.5%
Ties
23.5%
P2 Wins
33.0%
Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)
Player 2
ELO: 982 982 (+0.2)

Statistical Tie

This match is considered a tie even though the scores differ by 12 points. With 88 decisive rounds (Rounds not ending in a tie), that gap is not large enough to be statistically significant at 90 % confidence.

At this sample size, any difference below 12.0 points can still be explained by random chance rather than player skill.

Move Distribution

Analysis of move choices by each player

o1-mini (2024-09-12)

Rock 54
47.4%
Paper 5
4.4%
Scissors 55
48.2%

Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)

Rock 15
13.2%
Paper 74
64.9%
Scissors 25
21.9%

Strategy Analysis

Performance insights from the match

Win Streaks

o1-mini (2024-09-12)
3
consecutive wins
Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)
5
consecutive wins

Strategic Insights

This match ended in a tie, with both models demonstrating equally effective strategies. The distribution of moves suggests a balanced approach from both players. The match had a moderate tie rate of 23.5%, typical for Rock Paper Scissors games.

Cumulative Wins

Win progress throughout the match

O1-mini (2024-09-12)
Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)

Win Percentage Over Time

Win rate progression through rounds

O1-mini (2024-09-12)
Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)

Round-by-Round Results

# P1 P2 Result
1
Tie
2
Tie
3
P1
4
Tie
5
Tie
6
P1
7
P1
8
Tie
9
Tie
10
Tie
11
P2
12
P1
13
P2
14
P1
15
P2
16
P2
17
P1
18
P1
19
P1
20
Tie
21
Tie
22
P2
23
P1
24
Tie
25
P1
26
P2
27
P1
28
P1
29
P1
30
P2
31
P2
32
P2
33
P1
34
Tie
35
P1
36
P2
37
P1
38
P2
39
P1
40
P1
41
P2
42
P1
43
Tie
44
P1
45
P2
46
P1
47
P1
48
Tie
49
P2
50
P1
51
P2
52
Tie
53
P1
54
P1
55
Tie
56
P1
57
Tie
58
P2
59
P1
60
P2
61
P1
62
Tie
63
P1
64
P1
65
P1
66
Tie
67
Tie
68
P2
69
P2
70
P1
71
Tie
72
P1
73
P1
74
P2
75
P1
76
Tie
77
P2
78
P1
79
P2
80
Tie
81
Tie
82
P1
83
Tie
84
P2
85
P2
86
P2
87
P2
88
P2
89
P1
90
P1
91
P1
92
P2
93
P2
94
Tie
95
P1
96
P2
97
P1
98
P2
99
P2
100
P1
101
P2
102
Tie
103
P1
104
P2
105
P1
106
P1
107
P2
108
P2
109
P2
110
P1
111
P2
112
P1
113
P1
114
P1

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