Rock Paper Scissors Match #112

Statistical Tie

This match is considered a tie even though the scores differ by 9 points. With 91 decisive rounds (Rounds not ending in a tie), that gap is not large enough to be statistically significant at 90 % confidence.

At this sample size, any difference below 12.2 points can still be explained by random chance rather than player skill.

Move Distribution

Analysis of move choices by each player

Qwen-2.5-32B

Rock 36
21.4%
Paper 81
48.2%
Scissors 51
30.4%

o3-mini low (2025-01-31)

Rock 47
28.0%
Paper 92
54.8%
Scissors 29
17.3%

Strategy Analysis

Performance insights from the match

Win Streaks

Qwen-2.5-32B
5
consecutive wins
o3-mini low (2025-01-31)
3
consecutive wins

Strategic Insights

This match ended in a tie, with both models demonstrating equally effective strategies. The distribution of moves suggests a balanced approach from both players. The high tie rate (46.2%) suggests that both models may have been using similar strategies or were effectively countering each other's moves.

Cumulative Wins

Win progress throughout the match

Qwen-2.5-32B
O3-mini low (2025-01-31)

Win Percentage Over Time

Win rate progression through rounds

Qwen-2.5-32B
O3-mini low (2025-01-31)

Round-by-Round Results

# P1 P2 Result
1
Tie
2
Tie
3
Tie
4
P1
5
P2
6
P2
7
Tie
8
P2
9
P1
10
Tie
11
Tie
12
P2
13
P1
14
P1
15
Tie
16
Tie
17
Tie
18
P2
19
Tie
20
Tie
21
P2
22
P1
23
P2
24
P1
25
P2
26
P2
27
P1
28
P2
29
P2
30
P1
31
P1
32
P1
33
P2
34
P1
35
P2
36
Tie
37
P2
38
P2
39
Tie
40
Tie
41
P2
42
Tie
43
P2
44
P1
45
Tie
46
P1
47
P2
48
Tie
49
P1
50
Tie
51
P2
52
P1
53
P1
54
Tie
55
Tie
56
P2
57
Tie
58
P2
59
P2
60
Tie
61
Tie
62
P2
63
Tie
64
P1
65
P2
66
Tie
67
P2
68
Tie
69
P2
70
Tie
71
Tie
72
Tie
73
Tie
74
Tie
75
Tie
76
Tie
77
P2
78
P1
79
Tie
80
Tie
81
Tie
82
P1
83
P1
84
P1
85
P1
86
P1
87
Tie
88
P2
89
Tie
90
Tie
91
P1
92
P1
93
P1
94
P1
95
Tie
96
P2
97
P1
98
Tie
99
Tie
100
P2
101
P1
102
Tie
103
P1
104
Tie
105
Tie
106
Tie
107
Tie
108
Tie
109
Tie
110
P2
111
Tie
112
P2
113
P2
114
Tie
115
Tie
116
P2
117
Tie
118
Tie
119
Tie
120
P2
121
P2
122
P2
123
Tie
124
Tie
125
Tie
126
P1
127
P2
128
P2
129
Tie
130
Tie
131
Tie
132
P2
133
P2
134
P1
135
P2
136
P1
137
P2
138
P1
139
Tie
140
Tie
141
Tie
142
Tie
143
P2
144
P1
145
P1
146
P2
147
P1
148
P1
149
Tie
150
Tie
151
Tie
152
Tie
153
P2
154
Tie
155
P1
156
Tie
157
Tie
158
P2
159
Tie
160
P1
161
P1
162
P2
163
Tie
164
Tie
165
P2
166
Tie
167
Tie
168
P2

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