Rock Paper Scissors Match #112
Statistical Tie
This match is considered a tie even though the scores differ by 9 points. With 91 decisive rounds (Rounds not ending in a tie), that gap is not large enough to be statistically significant at 90 % confidence.
At this sample size, any difference below 12.2 points can still be explained by random chance rather than player skill.
Move Distribution
Analysis of move choices by each player
Qwen-2.5-32B
o3-mini low (2025-01-31)
Strategy Analysis
Performance insights from the match
Win Streaks
Strategic Insights
This match ended in a tie, with both models demonstrating equally effective strategies. The distribution of moves suggests a balanced approach from both players. The high tie rate (46.2%) suggests that both models may have been using similar strategies or were effectively countering each other's moves.
Cumulative Wins
Win progress throughout the match
Win Percentage Over Time
Win rate progression through rounds
Round-by-Round Results
# | P1 | P2 | Result |
---|---|---|---|
1 |
rock
|
rock
|
Tie |
2 |
paper
|
paper
|
Tie |
3 |
scissors
|
scissors
|
Tie |
4 |
paper
|
rock
|
Qwen-2.5-32B wins P1 |
5 |
paper
|
scissors
|
o3-mini low (2025-01-31) wins P2 |
6 |
scissors
|
rock
|
o3-mini low (2025-01-31) wins P2 |
7 |
paper
|
paper
|
Tie |
8 |
paper
|
scissors
|
o3-mini low (2025-01-31) wins P2 |
9 |
rock
|
scissors
|
Qwen-2.5-32B wins P1 |
10 |
paper
|
paper
|
Tie |
11 |
scissors
|
scissors
|
Tie |
12 |
rock
|
paper
|
o3-mini low (2025-01-31) wins P2 |
13 |
rock
|
scissors
|
Qwen-2.5-32B wins P1 |
14 |
paper
|
rock
|
Qwen-2.5-32B wins P1 |
15 |
scissors
|
scissors
|
Tie |
16 |
rock
|
rock
|
Tie |
17 |
paper
|
paper
|
Tie |
18 |
scissors
|
rock
|
o3-mini low (2025-01-31) wins P2 |
19 |
paper
|
paper
|
Tie |
20 |
paper
|
paper
|
Tie |
21 |
scissors
|
rock
|
o3-mini low (2025-01-31) wins P2 |
22 |
scissors
|
paper
|
Qwen-2.5-32B wins P1 |
23 |
scissors
|
rock
|
o3-mini low (2025-01-31) wins P2 |
24 |
scissors
|
paper
|
Qwen-2.5-32B wins P1 |
25 |
scissors
|
rock
|
o3-mini low (2025-01-31) wins P2 |
26 |
scissors
|
rock
|
o3-mini low (2025-01-31) wins P2 |
27 |
paper
|
rock
|
Qwen-2.5-32B wins P1 |
28 |
scissors
|
rock
|
o3-mini low (2025-01-31) wins P2 |
29 |
rock
|
paper
|
o3-mini low (2025-01-31) wins P2 |
30 |
scissors
|
paper
|
Qwen-2.5-32B wins P1 |
31 |
scissors
|
paper
|
Qwen-2.5-32B wins P1 |
32 |
paper
|
rock
|
Qwen-2.5-32B wins P1 |
33 |
rock
|
paper
|
o3-mini low (2025-01-31) wins P2 |
34 |
scissors
|
paper
|
Qwen-2.5-32B wins P1 |
35 |
rock
|
paper
|
o3-mini low (2025-01-31) wins P2 |
36 |
scissors
|
scissors
|
Tie |
37 |
scissors
|
rock
|
o3-mini low (2025-01-31) wins P2 |
38 |
rock
|
paper
|
o3-mini low (2025-01-31) wins P2 |
39 |
paper
|
paper
|
Tie |
40 |
rock
|
rock
|
Tie |
41 |
scissors
|
rock
|
o3-mini low (2025-01-31) wins P2 |
42 |
rock
|
rock
|
Tie |
43 |
scissors
|
rock
|
o3-mini low (2025-01-31) wins P2 |
44 |
scissors
|
paper
|
Qwen-2.5-32B wins P1 |
45 |
rock
|
rock
|
Tie |
46 |
scissors
|
paper
|
Qwen-2.5-32B wins P1 |
47 |
scissors
|
rock
|
o3-mini low (2025-01-31) wins P2 |
48 |
scissors
|
scissors
|
Tie |
49 |
paper
|
rock
|
Qwen-2.5-32B wins P1 |
50 |
scissors
|
scissors
|
Tie |
51 |
scissors
|
rock
|
o3-mini low (2025-01-31) wins P2 |
52 |
paper
|
rock
|
Qwen-2.5-32B wins P1 |
53 |
paper
|
rock
|
Qwen-2.5-32B wins P1 |
54 |
paper
|
paper
|
Tie |
55 |
paper
|
paper
|
Tie |
56 |
paper
|
scissors
|
o3-mini low (2025-01-31) wins P2 |
57 |
scissors
|
scissors
|
Tie |
58 |
scissors
|
rock
|
o3-mini low (2025-01-31) wins P2 |
59 |
paper
|
scissors
|
o3-mini low (2025-01-31) wins P2 |
60 |
paper
|
paper
|
Tie |
61 |
paper
|
paper
|
Tie |
62 |
paper
|
scissors
|
o3-mini low (2025-01-31) wins P2 |
63 |
paper
|
paper
|
Tie |
64 |
paper
|
rock
|
Qwen-2.5-32B wins P1 |
65 |
rock
|
paper
|
o3-mini low (2025-01-31) wins P2 |
66 |
paper
|
paper
|
Tie |
67 |
scissors
|
rock
|
o3-mini low (2025-01-31) wins P2 |
68 |
paper
|
paper
|
Tie |
69 |
paper
|
scissors
|
o3-mini low (2025-01-31) wins P2 |
70 |
rock
|
rock
|
Tie |
71 |
paper
|
paper
|
Tie |
72 |
paper
|
paper
|
Tie |
73 |
paper
|
paper
|
Tie |
74 |
paper
|
paper
|
Tie |
75 |
paper
|
paper
|
Tie |
76 |
scissors
|
scissors
|
Tie |
77 |
scissors
|
rock
|
o3-mini low (2025-01-31) wins P2 |
78 |
rock
|
scissors
|
Qwen-2.5-32B wins P1 |
79 |
paper
|
paper
|
Tie |
80 |
paper
|
paper
|
Tie |
81 |
paper
|
paper
|
Tie |
82 |
scissors
|
paper
|
Qwen-2.5-32B wins P1 |
83 |
scissors
|
paper
|
Qwen-2.5-32B wins P1 |
84 |
scissors
|
paper
|
Qwen-2.5-32B wins P1 |
85 |
scissors
|
paper
|
Qwen-2.5-32B wins P1 |
86 |
paper
|
rock
|
Qwen-2.5-32B wins P1 |
87 |
scissors
|
scissors
|
Tie |
88 |
scissors
|
rock
|
o3-mini low (2025-01-31) wins P2 |
89 |
rock
|
rock
|
Tie |
90 |
paper
|
paper
|
Tie |
91 |
paper
|
rock
|
Qwen-2.5-32B wins P1 |
92 |
scissors
|
paper
|
Qwen-2.5-32B wins P1 |
93 |
paper
|
rock
|
Qwen-2.5-32B wins P1 |
94 |
rock
|
scissors
|
Qwen-2.5-32B wins P1 |
95 |
paper
|
paper
|
Tie |
96 |
rock
|
paper
|
o3-mini low (2025-01-31) wins P2 |
97 |
scissors
|
paper
|
Qwen-2.5-32B wins P1 |
98 |
paper
|
paper
|
Tie |
99 |
scissors
|
scissors
|
Tie |
100 |
rock
|
paper
|
o3-mini low (2025-01-31) wins P2 |
101 |
paper
|
rock
|
Qwen-2.5-32B wins P1 |
102 |
scissors
|
scissors
|
Tie |
103 |
scissors
|
paper
|
Qwen-2.5-32B wins P1 |
104 |
rock
|
rock
|
Tie |
105 |
paper
|
paper
|
Tie |
106 |
paper
|
paper
|
Tie |
107 |
rock
|
rock
|
Tie |
108 |
paper
|
paper
|
Tie |
109 |
paper
|
paper
|
Tie |
110 |
rock
|
paper
|
o3-mini low (2025-01-31) wins P2 |
111 |
paper
|
paper
|
Tie |
112 |
rock
|
paper
|
o3-mini low (2025-01-31) wins P2 |
113 |
rock
|
paper
|
o3-mini low (2025-01-31) wins P2 |
114 |
paper
|
paper
|
Tie |
115 |
paper
|
paper
|
Tie |
116 |
rock
|
paper
|
o3-mini low (2025-01-31) wins P2 |
117 |
paper
|
paper
|
Tie |
118 |
paper
|
paper
|
Tie |
119 |
paper
|
paper
|
Tie |
120 |
paper
|
scissors
|
o3-mini low (2025-01-31) wins P2 |
121 |
rock
|
paper
|
o3-mini low (2025-01-31) wins P2 |
122 |
rock
|
paper
|
o3-mini low (2025-01-31) wins P2 |
123 |
paper
|
paper
|
Tie |
124 |
paper
|
paper
|
Tie |
125 |
paper
|
paper
|
Tie |
126 |
paper
|
rock
|
Qwen-2.5-32B wins P1 |
127 |
scissors
|
rock
|
o3-mini low (2025-01-31) wins P2 |
128 |
scissors
|
rock
|
o3-mini low (2025-01-31) wins P2 |
129 |
paper
|
paper
|
Tie |
130 |
scissors
|
scissors
|
Tie |
131 |
rock
|
rock
|
Tie |
132 |
rock
|
paper
|
o3-mini low (2025-01-31) wins P2 |
133 |
rock
|
paper
|
o3-mini low (2025-01-31) wins P2 |
134 |
scissors
|
paper
|
Qwen-2.5-32B wins P1 |
135 |
rock
|
paper
|
o3-mini low (2025-01-31) wins P2 |
136 |
rock
|
scissors
|
Qwen-2.5-32B wins P1 |
137 |
scissors
|
rock
|
o3-mini low (2025-01-31) wins P2 |
138 |
paper
|
rock
|
Qwen-2.5-32B wins P1 |
139 |
paper
|
paper
|
Tie |
140 |
paper
|
paper
|
Tie |
141 |
paper
|
paper
|
Tie |
142 |
paper
|
paper
|
Tie |
143 |
paper
|
scissors
|
o3-mini low (2025-01-31) wins P2 |
144 |
scissors
|
paper
|
Qwen-2.5-32B wins P1 |
145 |
paper
|
rock
|
Qwen-2.5-32B wins P1 |
146 |
paper
|
scissors
|
o3-mini low (2025-01-31) wins P2 |
147 |
scissors
|
paper
|
Qwen-2.5-32B wins P1 |
148 |
paper
|
rock
|
Qwen-2.5-32B wins P1 |
149 |
paper
|
paper
|
Tie |
150 |
paper
|
paper
|
Tie |
151 |
paper
|
paper
|
Tie |
152 |
paper
|
paper
|
Tie |
153 |
paper
|
scissors
|
o3-mini low (2025-01-31) wins P2 |
154 |
scissors
|
scissors
|
Tie |
155 |
scissors
|
paper
|
Qwen-2.5-32B wins P1 |
156 |
rock
|
rock
|
Tie |
157 |
paper
|
paper
|
Tie |
158 |
rock
|
paper
|
o3-mini low (2025-01-31) wins P2 |
159 |
paper
|
paper
|
Tie |
160 |
scissors
|
paper
|
Qwen-2.5-32B wins P1 |
161 |
paper
|
rock
|
Qwen-2.5-32B wins P1 |
162 |
rock
|
paper
|
o3-mini low (2025-01-31) wins P2 |
163 |
paper
|
paper
|
Tie |
164 |
paper
|
paper
|
Tie |
165 |
rock
|
paper
|
o3-mini low (2025-01-31) wins P2 |
166 |
paper
|
paper
|
Tie |
167 |
paper
|
paper
|
Tie |
168 |
paper
|
scissors
|
o3-mini low (2025-01-31) wins P2 |