Back Mar 02, 2025

Rock Paper Scissors Match #197

o3-mini low (2025-01-31)
Player 1
ELO: 986.146 985.636 (-0.5)
50
-
47
Tie
141 total rounds
P1 Wins
35.5%
Ties
31.2%
P2 Wins
33.3%
Qwen-2.5-32B
Player 2
ELO: 975 976 (+0.5)

Statistical Tie

This match is considered a tie even though the scores differ by 3 points. With 97 decisive rounds (Rounds not ending in a tie), that gap is not large enough to be statistically significant at 90 % confidence.

At this sample size, any difference below 12.6 points can still be explained by random chance rather than player skill.

Move Distribution

Analysis of move choices by each player

o3-mini low (2025-01-31)

Rock 58
41.4%
Paper 58
41.4%
Scissors 24
17.1%

Qwen-2.5-32B

Rock 30
21.4%
Paper 48
34.3%
Scissors 62
44.3%

Strategy Analysis

Performance insights from the match

Win Streaks

o3-mini low (2025-01-31)
7
consecutive wins
Qwen-2.5-32B
6
consecutive wins

Strategic Insights

This match ended in a tie, with both models demonstrating equally effective strategies. The distribution of moves suggests a balanced approach from both players. The match had a moderate tie rate of 31.2%, typical for Rock Paper Scissors games.

Cumulative Wins

Win progress throughout the match

O3-mini low (2025-01-31)
Qwen-2.5-32B

Win Percentage Over Time

Win rate progression through rounds

O3-mini low (2025-01-31)
Qwen-2.5-32B

Round-by-Round Results

# P1 P2 Result
1
Tie
2
Tie
3
Tie
4
P2
5
P1
6
P1
7
P2
8
P1
9
P1
10
P2
11
P1
12
P1
13
P1
14
P1
15
Tie
16
P1
17
P1
18
Tie
19
P2
20
Tie
21
Tie
22
P2
23
P2
24
P2
25
P1
26
Tie
27
Tie
28
P2
29
Tie
30
P1
31
P1
32
P2
33
P2
34
P1
35
P2
36
Tie
37
P2
38
P1
39
Tie
40
Tie
41
P2
42
P1
43
P2
44
P1
45
P2
46
P1
47
P1
48
Tie
49
P2
50
P2
51
P1
52
P1
53
Tie
54
Tie
55
P1
56
Tie
57
Tie
58
P2
59
P1
60
P1
61
Tie
62
P1
63
P2
64
Tie
65
P2
66
Tie
67
Tie
68
Tie
69
P2
70
P2
71
P2
72
P1
73
Tie
74
Tie
75
P2
76
P2
77
P1
78
P1
79
Tie
80
P2
81
P1
82
P2
83
P2
84
Tie
85
Tie
86
P1
87
P2
88
P2
89
P2
90
P2
91
P2
92
P2
93
P1
94
Tie
95
P1
96
P2
97
P1
98
P1
99
Tie
100
Tie
101
Tie
102
Tie
103
P2
104
P1
105
Tie
106
Tie
107
Tie
108
P1
109
P2
110
Tie
111
P1
112
P1
113
P1
114
P1
115
P1
116
P1
117
P1
118
P2
119
Tie
120
P2
121
P2
122
Tie
123
P1
124
Tie
125
P2
126
Tie
127
P2
128
P2
129
P1
130
P1
131
P1
132
P2
133
P2
134
Tie
135
P1
136
P2
137
P2
138
Tie
139
P1
140
P1

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