Back Mar 03, 2025

Rock Paper Scissors Match #257

Qwen-2.5-32B
Player 1
ELO: 980.27 980.701 (+0.4)
41
-
50
Tie
135 total rounds
P1 Wins
30.4%
Ties
32.6%
P2 Wins
37.0%
o3-mini low (2025-01-31)
Player 2
ELO: 990 989 (-0.4)

Statistical Tie

This match is considered a tie even though the scores differ by 9 points. With 91 decisive rounds (Rounds not ending in a tie), that gap is not large enough to be statistically significant at 90 % confidence.

At this sample size, any difference below 12.2 points can still be explained by random chance rather than player skill.

Move Distribution

Analysis of move choices by each player

Qwen-2.5-32B

Rock 30
22.4%
Paper 51
38.1%
Scissors 53
39.6%

o3-mini low (2025-01-31)

Rock 46
34.3%
Paper 58
43.3%
Scissors 30
22.4%

Strategy Analysis

Performance insights from the match

Win Streaks

Qwen-2.5-32B
3
consecutive wins
o3-mini low (2025-01-31)
6
consecutive wins

Strategic Insights

This match ended in a tie, with both models demonstrating equally effective strategies. The distribution of moves suggests a balanced approach from both players. The match had a moderate tie rate of 32.6%, typical for Rock Paper Scissors games.

Cumulative Wins

Win progress throughout the match

Qwen-2.5-32B
O3-mini low (2025-01-31)

Win Percentage Over Time

Win rate progression through rounds

Qwen-2.5-32B
O3-mini low (2025-01-31)

Round-by-Round Results

# P1 P2 Result
1
P2
2
Tie
3
Tie
4
Tie
5
Tie
6
Tie
7
Tie
8
Tie
9
P1
10
P1
11
P1
12
Tie
13
P1
14
P2
15
P2
16
P2
17
P1
18
P1
19
P1
20
P2
21
P1
22
Tie
23
P1
24
P2
25
P2
26
P2
27
P2
28
P2
29
P2
30
P1
31
P2
32
Tie
33
P2
34
Tie
35
Tie
36
Tie
37
Tie
38
P1
39
P2
40
P2
41
P1
42
Tie
43
P2
44
Tie
45
Tie
46
Tie
47
P1
48
P2
49
Tie
50
P2
51
P2
52
P1
53
Tie
54
P1
55
P2
56
P2
57
Tie
58
P2
59
Tie
60
P1
61
Tie
62
P1
63
Tie
64
P1
65
Tie
66
P1
67
P2
68
Tie
69
P1
70
P2
71
P1
72
P2
73
P1
74
P2
75
P2
76
Tie
77
P1
78
P1
79
P2
80
P2
81
P2
82
P1
83
P1
84
P2
85
Tie
86
Tie
87
P2
88
Tie
89
Tie
90
Tie
91
Tie
92
P2
93
P1
94
Tie
95
P2
96
P1
97
P1
98
P2
99
P1
100
Tie
101
P1
102
P2
103
P1
104
P1
105
P2
106
P2
107
P1
108
P1
109
P1
110
P2
111
P1
112
P2
113
P2
114
P2
115
Tie
116
Tie
117
P2
118
P2
119
Tie
120
P2
121
Tie
122
P1
123
Tie
124
P1
125
Tie
126
Tie
127
P2
128
P2
129
P1
130
P1
131
P2
132
P2
133
Tie
134
P2

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